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Monday, December 10, 2012

Rape & Abortion



I know those that know me know that I am a numbers freak.  What can I say, but I just couldn’t resist any longer….  The next time someone tells you that you obviously are a hypocrite for supporting the pro-life movement because you would rather see a rape victim be forced to have a baby than let justice be served and let her emotionally heal by aborting the "fetus," let them know they are the hypocrite because you are more likely to die by freak house accident or some type of natural disaster than to get pregnant after a rape...  and here is why...
 
In August 1995, the US Justice Department completed a study stating that there were 170,000 completed rapes that year.  Some reports state that only 56% of rapes are reported.  Therefore, let’s increase 170,000 to 200,000 (we wouldn’t want to miss anyone) then add in the remaining 44% that were under-reported.  That makes our 170,000 US Justice Department estimate go 288,000 rapes a year.  (This is NOT the time to be conservative)

·         So out of the 288,000, 1/3 were either too old or too young to get pregnant.  That leaves 190,000 at risk for pregnancy.  (Yes, I will be rounding UP as I move forward)


  • ·         A woman is capable of being fertilized only 3 days out of a 30 day month.  I say, lets bump this to 5 to accommodate the low percentage of woman that are fertile longer than 3 days… and for leap year, etc…  Those 5 days represent 16.5% of the month.  Therefore, lets take the 190,000 rape victims and multiple by 16.5%.  Now we have 31,350 women who were when they are fertile.
  • ·         One fourth of all women in the United States of childbearing age have been sterilized.  Therefore the remaining ¾’s leaves us with 23,513 women.
  • ·         50% of assailants actually penetrate her body (According to the New England Journal of Medicine) and/or deposit sperm in her vagina.  So this now leaves us with 11,757 women.
  • ·         15% of men are sterile.  Now we have 9,993 women.
  • ·         15% of non-surgically sterilized women are naturally sterile. 7,495 women.
  • ·         ANOTHER 15% are either on RX Contraceptives or are currently pregnant.  5,621 women.
  • ·         The average miscarry rate (not taking into account any “conservative” excuses like trauma, physical harm, emotional harm, ripping, tearing, bruising, etc…) is 15%.  So now we have 421 pregnant women.

Side note – everyone knows (especially women) how everyday stress can affect her period.  It often makes women skip periods or have much shorter periods because of the hormones our body produces when they are in a period of high stress.  But, since there has been no study I could find on the internet from a government or non-secular organization, we will pretend that women have perfect cycles all the time… like clockwork.

So in the United States, when there are 6,000,000 pregnancies a year, rape accounts for .00007% of all pregnancies annually.  (6,000,000 divided by 421)

Finally, since 80% of all victims during a rape were under the influence of alcohol, maybe we should focus on how to prevent rape instead of using the worst moments of a females life to promote abortion.  And harassing pro-life people by telling them that they hate women and women’s rights and that their religion is old fashioned and insane, and that they actually promote the murder and rape of innocent women… I guess that there is a chance that you are .00007% right.  Hey, at least there is a chance. 

Friday, February 10, 2012

My Countering of the Guttmacher Institute, the Affordable Care Act, and the "98% of Catholic Women

"A half-truth is a whole lie." - Yiddish Proverb

Do any of these statements seem familiar to you?  These are the statements that are being used right now, in thousands of news stories throughout our nation in regards to the Catholic Church, the Affordable Care Act, and the lack of support/shared belief the Church has with Her people:

April 2011
"Among all women who have had sex, 99% have ever used a contraceptive method other than natural family planning. This figure is virtually the same, 98%, among sexually experienced Catholic women." - Guttmacher Institute

Page 4 of: Countering Conventional Wisdom: New Evidence on Religion and Contraceptive Use

February 1st, 2012
“According to a study by the Guttmacher Institute, most women, including 98 percent of Catholic women, have used contraception.” Cecilia Muñoz, Director of the Domestic Policy Council, written on the White House Blog

February 10th, 2012
"98 percent of Catholic women use birth control at some point in their lifetimes" - REUTERS

----I will make one small statement before I go on.  How is it virtually possible for 98% of Catholic Women to "have used" a contraceptive when over 8% of the population of females, ages 15-44, have never had intercourse?  And, if over 2% of the population is sterile from non-contraceptive reasons (surgical and non surgical), again, how can the 98% be possible?----

A little history:

In April 2011, Rachel K. Jones and Joerg Dreweke with the Guttmacher Institute, published a report titled: Countering Conventional Wisdom: New Evidence on Religion and Contraceptive Use. The opening statement in the report begins by informing readers that almost every woman in the United States uses a contraceptive method.  This report is a complete analysis on statistical information that was gathered by the Center for Disease Control between 2006 and 2008.  This 8 page report focuses on religion and contraceptive use to attempt to inform readers the extent of contraceptive use among United States women, primarily on the group that would likely oppose contraceptives the most; Catholic women.  The goal was to support the claim that contraceptive use is a "vital component of preventative and public health care."

On February 1st, 2012, in the middle of this ongoing debate regarding the Affordable Care Act, Cecilia Muñoz, Director of the Domestic Policy Council, wrote on the White House Blog “According to a study by the Guttmacher Institute, most women, including 98 percent of Catholic women, have used contraception.”

Ms. Muñoz wrote this information on the blog which was part of seven "facts" regarding the Affordable Care Act.  This statement was listed to explain how contraception is widely accepted, used, expected, and wanted by all American women.  With the Catholic Church being a large voice against this act, Ms. Muñoz attempted to explain how the Catholic Churches views and teachings are not followed or even supported by Her own people due to the overwhelming findings that 98 percent of Catholic women have used contraception.

The Data (double check me!)

I would like to not only explain how the information is totally biased, but also show you how to look at the reports yourself and double check my findings.  As Obama's administration would call it "Total Transparency."  Because the information has been used in the incorrect context, is not explained in more detail, and contains cherry picked statistics to get to shocking numbers, the report and comments from the Guttmacher Institute is incorrect.  Or, as the Proverb would say, since it is really only a half truth, it is a whole lie.
This link will take you to the official 8 page study that was performed by the Guttmacher Institute in which Ms. Muñoz and thousands of others have been misquoting a misrepresented percentage regarding the Church and the women of the Church.

This link will take you to a survey that was performed by the Center for Disease Control in 2006 through 2008.  This report and its statics were used by the Guttmacher Institute in their analysis.  Below is the actual graph from the CDC that shows the actual amount of women that use contraceptives and by most popular methods.

Page 7: Use of Contraception in the United States: 1982-2008
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 

This link will show you the Blog that currently still has the "half-truth" statement by Ms. Muñoz.  As one of Obama's top aides, precision was not taken into consideration when posting this blog. 




The REAL numbers:

Out of the entire population of females in child bearing years (age 15-44), 61.9% have used a contraceptive method to prevent pregnancy.  In other words, the report from the Guttmacher Institute was only based on 61.9% of women ages 15-44 (which does not include age 45+ females).
  • Not using contraceptives: 38.1%
    • 5.4% of women are pregnant or post-partum
    • 4.1% are currently trying to get pregnant
    • 19.2% have either never had intercourse or were excluded from this study because they had not had intercourse within 3 months prior to being interviewed for this study.
    • 1.7% are sterile from non-surgical and non-contraceptive causes
    • .4% are surgically sterile but was non-contraceptive
    • 7.3% are currently having intercourse but are not using contraceptives
  • Using/Have Used Contraceptives at least once to avoid pregnancy: 61.8%
    • Sterilization: 23% (22.8%)
    • Abortifacients/Birth Control: 25% (24.8%)
    • Barrier Methods: 10% (9.9%)
    • Abstinence: 1% (.6%)
    • Withdrawal: 3% (3.2%)
Out of the entire population of females in child bearing age (15-44), 61.9% are currently using contraceptives to avoid pregnancy.  Distribution by method below is applied only to the 61.9%.
  •  Sterilization: 37%
    • Female Sterilization – 27.1%
    • Male Sterilization – 9.9%
  • Abortifacients/Birth Control: 40.20%
    • Pill – 28%
    • Implant, Lunelle, or patch – 1.1%
    • Depo-Provera - 3.2
    • Contraceptive Ring - 2.4
    • IUD - 5.5
  • Barrier Methods: 16.1%
    • Condom - 16.1
  • Abstinence: 1.1%
    • Calendar Rhythm - .9%
    • Natural Family Planning - .2%
  • Withdrawal – 5.2%
  • Other - .04%
If the above represents only the 61.9% of the population of women in child bearing years (15-44), then the following is the accurate representation of percentages for the percent of ALL women in child bearing years (ages 15-44) in relation to contraceptive use.
  • Sterilization: 23% (22.9%)
  • Abortifacients/Birth Control: 25% (24.8%)
  • Barrier Methods: 10% (9.9%)
  • Abstinence: 1% (.7%)
  • Withdrawal: 3% (3.2%)
  • Do not use contraception: 38%
If the same is applied to all Catholic women in child bearing years (15-44), than the following is the accurate percentages for ALL Catholic women in child bearing years (ages 15-44) in relation to contraceptive use.
  • Sterilization: 20% (19.776%)
  • Abortifacients/Birth Control: 22% (22.248%)
  • Barrier Methods: 12% (11.742%)
  • Abstinence: 1% (1.236%)
  • Withdrawal: 2% (2.472%)
  • Do not use contraception: 43%

My Analysis:

The Guttmacher report used the percentages below in their statement of 98% as they took into consideration the 2% listed as using Natural Family Planning.  However, they did not include the 11% that was listed under No Method.  In addition, they neglected to inform the reader the percentage of the population that was represented in the 98%.

When you compare the biased information that was provided by Guttmacher with the actual statistics provided by the C.D.C. in which Guttmacher "cherry picked," the comparison is shocking.


42% of all Catholic Women in child bearing years (ages 15-44) have used at least once, birth control methods that would be offered for free through the Affordable Care Act.  This includes 20% who are either sterile or have a partner who is sterile for contraceptive reasons and 22% that use a form of hormonal birth control (Pill/IUD).

Catholic Women in child bearing years (ages 15-44) also use non-hormonal methods as contraceptives which are not included in the Affordable Care Act.  12% have used the condom at least once and 2% have used methods such as withdrawal at least once.

Finally, 1% of Catholic Women in child bearing years (ages 15-44) utilize Natural Family Planning as a form of contraceptive which is supported by the Catholic Church.

Per the CDC, it is also important to note that there are an additional 7.6% of women who are currently having intercourse, and are not using any form of contraception as a prevention for pregnancy.  This practice is not against Catholic teaching.

The remaining amount of the population, that are not included in the above which would all be supported by the Catholic Church are as follows:
  • 5.4% are either pregnant or post-partum
  • 4.1% are currently trying to get pregnant
  • 19.2% have either never had intercourse or were excluded from this study because they had not had intercourse within 3 months prior to being interviewed for this study.
  • 1.7% are sterile from non-surgical and non-contraceptive causes
  • .4% are surgically sterile but was non-contraceptive

Page 21: Use of Contraception in the United States: 1982-2008
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 

One final statement:

The report from the Guttmacher Institute that was used to state that 98% of Catholic women who have had sex have used contraceptives has been overly quoted for the past 2 weeks.  If you went to Google and under the search tools went back day by day searching 3 simple words: Catholic Contraceptive 98%, it would result in 100's of articles per day.  Over the course of two weeks, the damage that has been done is unimaginable.  What I have written will likely not make it past those of you that know me.  Which ultimately leaves us to one point - continue to pray for our leaders, pray for our priests, and pray for those that attempt to hurt us most.  This isn't about money, power, or status... This is about protecting our rights to practice or not practice religion, to beleive in that religion, to not be punished for those beleifs, to not be forced to do something against those beleifs, and ultimately, demand our leaders to stop spreading racism (even reverse racism), to stop spreading anti-anyReligion sentiment, and to stop creating problems to simply take attention off of another area that we, as Americans, should be focusing on... remaining free.

The best gift you can give yourself is to pray for those that oppose you and the best retaliation you can give to someone who is against God, is to pray for them. 

-- Crystal Fulton